竞争与合作：中国—东盟经贸关系

论文编号:GM750  论文字数:12053.页数:25

摘  要

 中国与东盟的经贸关系已进入高速发展阶段。随着CAFTA的建立，双边贸易必将获得更大的增长空间。基于更好地应对双边贸易发展所面临的机遇和挑战的考虑，本文对中国—东盟双边经贸关系的竞争性与合作性进行了比较分析。
 论文首先从中国—东盟经贸关系现状的基本介绍出发，并着重将中国与东盟各自的贸易优势以及两者的出口产品和市场结构作了比较，辅以对双边贸易现存问题的整理以引出撰文背景。
 鉴于中国和东盟各自具有不同的比较优势，即存在贸易互补，本文借用贸易互补性指数结果证明了实际上中国与东盟国家之间的贸易互补性正逐渐减弱，说明中国将在双边贸易过程中面临压力。
 出口相似性指数结果分析分别从总体分析和典型产品分析两个方面作了比较，分析发现事实上不论是在纺织品和服装或是农产品还是制造业产品的出口相似性比较中，均可以寻出同样的结论：在近十年间，中国和东盟的出口产品及市场相似性不断增加。
 最后通过对贸易竞争指数的变化研究又进一步发现，实际上中国与东盟的贸易竞争态势日趋明显：中国在制造品出口中相对东盟有竞争优势，而双方在制造品出口市场的竞争日趋激烈；在农产品贸易市场上，东盟对我国将形成长时间的强烈冲击。
 在中国—东盟双方贸易发展达到这样一个阶段时，将以上结论作为出发视角来思索相关对策建议，将有利于将中国与东盟贸易引入一个合理的发展轨道。

关键词：中国—东盟、互补性、相似性、竞争性

COMPETITION AND COOPERATION:
THE RELATION OF CHINA─ASEAN IN ECONOMY AND TRADE
 
ABSTRACT
 
 The relation of China—ASEAN in economy and trade have entered into a high developing speed phase. With the establishment of CAFTA, the bilateral trade will be to have a great increase. Taking into consideration of the opportunity and challenge for making it better and better that we are facing, this article has made comparison and analysis about the competition and cooperation of it.
 It begins with the basic introduction of the relation of China—ASEAN in economy and trade, and makes an important comparison for the advantages of their trade, their export products and market structure. The summary of the problems of bilateral trade elicits the background of writing this article.
 In view of China and ASEAN have different advantages that have the trade complement, the article uses trade complementarity index’s result to testify that in actually China and ASEAN countries’ trade complementarity are gradually weakening, and China will meet a tremendous pressure in the bilateral trade.
 The result of the export comparability index analyze makes a comparison for both all the products and the typical products, we can find in actually that even for  the comparison of textile costumes, farm products and manufacturing products, we’ll get the same conclusion: in recently ten years, the export products and markets’ comparability are unceasingly increases.
 Finally, through the study of the change of rivalrousness index we find in actually that the situation of competition between China and ASEAN is more and more obvious: in the export of manufacturing products China have more competition advantage but in the market both China and ASEAN have a drastic competition, and they will also keep an impact for a long time in the market of farm products.
 At this phase of the developing of the bilateral trade, thinking over some appropriates strategies for this conclusion will help us to lead China and ASEAN to a reasonable development way.

KEYWORDS：China—ASEAN,  complementarity,  comparability, rivalrousness

目录

 第一章 中国—东盟经贸关系的现状……………………………….… 2
第一节 中国—东盟经贸合作的发展……………………………………….  

2 一、双边贸易……………………………………………………………..  2
二、相互投资……………………………………………………………. 2
第二节 中国—东盟经贸状况的比较…………………………………………3
一、贸易优势的比较……………………………………………………… 3
二、出口产品结构和市场结构的比较……………………………………… 4
第三节 中国—东盟经贸合作中的问题………………………………………5
第二章 中国—东盟贸易互补性分析………………………………….  6
第一节 贸易互补性指数……………………………………………………6
第二节 中国—东盟贸易互补性指数解析…………………………………… 6
一、贸易互补性指数的变化………………………………………………6
二、贸易互补性指数变化的原因……………………………………………7
第三章 中国—东盟贸易出口相似性分析……………………………8
第一节 出口相似性指数…………………………………………………8
第二节 中国—东盟出口相似性指数解析……………………………………8
一、中国—东盟总体出口相似性分析…………………………………….9
二、典型产品的出口相似性分析………………………………………… 9
第四章 中国—东盟贸易竞争性分析…………………………………12
第一节 相对竞争指数……………………………………………………. 13
第二节 中国—东盟贸易竞争指数解析……………………………………13
结论……………………………………………………………………16
参考文献……………………………………………….……….………18

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